
BROOKLYN, NY—As I waited to enter the opulent Kings Theatre in Brooklyn for Elizabeth Warren’s rally with Julián Castro on Tuesday night, I asked the woman standing next to me, dressed stylishly in cheetah-print booties, why she supported Warren’s campaign. She gushed about Warren’s proposal to tax billionaires and her other detailed plans. It was only after I asked her name that I realized I was speaking with Paola Mendoza, the activist and filmmaker who co-founded the Women’s March. Mendoza brushed off concerns about Warren’s perceived loss of momentum in recent weeks. Warren, she told me pointedly, was “electable.”
Warren’s campaign has, from its inception, been dogged by that pesky, sexist question: Can she win? In September of last year, around the time she held a 20,000-person rally in New York City’s Washington Square Park, Warren, whose campaign had entered 2019 with dismal fundraising numbers, seemed to put that question to rest. She began her fall surge, the culmination of a steady upward climb since the beginning of the year, topping the polls in the early nomination states of Iowa and New Hampshire as well as California, and led nationally in some surveys. She appeared to be a candidate who could unify the Democratic party—progressive enough for fans of Bernie Sanders, but one who would never toss off the word “revolution” casually. A reformer to be sure, but a radical one who, as a fellow at the Roosevelt Institute told Jezebel, “knows where the bodies of capitalism are buried.” Friends of mine who are longtime leftist organizers began throwing their support behind Warren, and even my mother—whose main political concerns center around keeping her taxes low and who has never voted in a U.S. election despite my best efforts to drag her to the polls—told me over Thanksgiving that she was a fan, anecdotal evidence that coupled with her polling numbers had me begin seriously thinking about President Elizabeth Warren.

That’s changed. Warren is now fourth in Iowa, behind the three Bs (Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Pete Buttigieg), and similarly lagging in other states and nationwide. Inside Kings Theatre, I ran into a friend who works in politics and who is a fan of both Sanders and Warren. “I think that she began to be attacked from the right, and the left didn’t defend her,” he told me of her decline in the polls. True enough—Pete Buttigieg’s attacks on Warren and Medicare for All, as nauseating as they are, likely worked. It didn’t help, too, that her perceived missteps around the rollout of her plan for Medicare for All dismayed more progressive voters who had begun to warm to her.
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